CFA · Player Analysis · April 2026
Sory
Diarra
FK Haugesund · Eliteserien · CF · Age 26 · Malian
CFA Verdict
MONITOR
CF_MOBILE_LINKING · 0.88
19
Goals (career FKH)
5078
Minutes (DB high)
0.34
G/90
0.31
xG/90
0.71
PR/90
0.60
SA/90
€0.45M
Market Value
2026
Contract (near-free)
Raw (FKH / Eliteserien)
Viking projection
CF target (CF_MOBILE_LINKING)
Goal Scoring — G/90 & xG/90
Link-up Output PR/90 & SA/90
Duel% & Pass%
Defensive — Inter/90 & RecovOpp/90
FK Haugesund (current)
xG/game0.77
Goals/game0.57
Possession~42%
Season resultRelegated
League coeff1.00
CF opportunityScarce
Viking FK (dest.)
xG/game1.92
Goals/game2.55
Possession50.2%
Season resultTop-half contender
League coeff1.00
CF opportunityAbundant
Commercial Context
xG gap+1.15/game
Contract expiresDec 2026
Transfer costNear-free
Age26
Market value€0.45M
RiskARCHETYPE

What the profile does well

Diarra's sample is the largest in the candidate database — 5078 minutes across multiple Eliteserien seasons gives this assessment the highest statistical confidence of any player reviewed. Under the revised CF_MOBILE_LINKING weighting, the metrics he excels at now carry scoring weight. PR/90 (0.71) reaches 142% of the target (0.50), and SA/90 (0.60) reaches 150% of the target (0.40) — both classified as strong metrics with weights of 0.20 and 0.15 respectively. DuelPct (36.3%) exceeds the 31.5% target. Inter/90 (1.77) and RecovOpp/90 (2.30) confirm press participation above the CF minimum. Pass% (70.4%) comfortably clears the 65.0% floor target. These numbers were previously irrelevant to the verdict; they are now central to it.

Why this is a MONITOR

The revised model weights five metrics: G/90 (0.30, hardCore), xG/90 (0.20, hardCore), PR/90 (0.20, strong), SA/90 (0.15, strong), DuelPct (0.15, strong). Diarra's G/90 (0.34) still produces a rawRatio of 0.680 — below the 0.75 hardCore floor — triggering the ×0.92 penalty that applies across the total score. That penalty has not been removed. But PR/90 and SA/90 now carry 35% of total weight, and Diarra outperforms both substantially. xG/90 (0.31) as the second hardCore metric gives a rawRatio of 0.775 — just above the 0.75 floor, avoiding a second penalty. The model now captures what Diarra actually contributes. MONITOR, not PASS, is the correct outcome.

The team context problem

FKH created 0.77 xG per game this season — relegation-level chance generation, the lowest in the division. Viking creates 1.92 xG per game. A CF in a team creating 0.77 xG/game is structurally capped on goals, regardless of quality. A crude proportional scaling of Diarra's G/90 to Viking's chance volume yields a theoretical 0.85 G/90 — above the hardCore target and into BUY range. That extrapolation overstates the case, but the direction is clear: Diarra's scoring output is materially suppressed by team context. At Viking, with 2.55 goals/game and abundant CF opportunity, the gap closes meaningfully.

Recommendation

MONITOR. Score 0.88 sits within the MONITOR band (0.76–0.92). The verdict is driven by the G/90 hardCore penalty — rawRatio 0.680 — which pulls the total down despite strong PR/90 and SA/90 output. The near-free contract (Dec 2026, €0.45M) transforms the risk calculus: at this price point, MONITOR-grade profiles represent high value. In a better team with higher xG, Diarra's G/90 almost certainly rises. If the squad has a primary CF option secured, Diarra as backup rotation depth — linking play at above-target rates and pressing at CF-standard — is a commercially rational move. Confidence basis: Very High (5,078 min).