CFA · Player Analysis · April 2026
Robbie
Ure
IK Sirius · Allsvenskan · CF · Age 22 · Scottish
CFA Verdict
MONITOR
CF_MOBILE_LINKING · 0.86
12
Goals 2025–26
2901
Minutes
0.33
G/90 adj.
0.33
xG/90 adj.
2.73
RecovOpp/90 adj.
37.7%
Duel%
€2.2M
Market Value
2029
Contract
Attacking Profile — Sirius vs Viking Projection
Raw (Allsvenskan)
League-adjusted
Viking projection
CF target
Goal Output G/90 & xG/90
Pressing & Progression
Technical Metrics
Defensive Activity
Environment Comparison
IK Sirius (current)
Possession49.9%
Pass%83.4%
Goals/game2.03
PPDA10.6
League coeff0.88
Contract2029
Viking FK (dest.)
Possession50.2%
Pass%81.3%
Goals/game2.55
PPDA10.6
League coeff1.00
CF needOK
Translation Risk
League gap0.88 → 1.00
Style fitHigh
Pressing fitHigh
Age22
Market value€2.2M
RiskMEDIUM
Analytical Assessment

What the profile does well

Ure's defensive-intensity profile is genuine: Inter/90 adjusted (1.78) ranks 1st in the CF pool of 16, and RecovOpp/90 (3.10 raw, 2.73 adj.) ranks 2nd of 15 behind only Paananen (3.37). Pass% adjusted (65.7%) lands exactly at the CF target (65.0%), confirming functional link-up quality under pressure. The tactical fit against Viking is the strongest of any CF candidate — Sirius and Viking share near-identical PPDA (10.6) and possession structure (~50%), meaning no adaptation cost in pressing system or ball circulation.

Why this is a MONITOR

The revised CF_MOBILE_LINKING model distributes weight across five metrics: G/90 (0.30, hardCore), xG/90 (0.20, hardCore), PR/90 (0.20, strong), SA/90 (0.15, strong), DuelPct (0.15, strong). Ure's G/90 adjusted (0.33) still produces a rawRatio of 0.651 — below the 0.75 hardCore floor — triggering the ×0.92 penalty. That has not changed. But PR/90 adjusted (0.87) reaches 174% of target and SA/90 adjusted (0.57) reaches 143% of target. These metrics now carry 35% of total scoring weight. xG/90 adjusted (0.33) against the 0.40 target gives rawRatio 0.814 — above the 0.75 hardCore floor, no second penalty. The combination of pressing, link-up output, and the penalty cap is what puts Ure at 0.86 rather than 0.65. The scoring gap remains real; the profile is no longer disqualifying.

The model's signal

CF_MOBILE_LINKING is defined as a scoring-and-linking striker. Under the old model — G/90 weighted at 40%, xG/90 at 25%, DuelPct at 15% — Ure's profile was penalised almost exclusively on scoring volume. The new weighting introduces PR/90 and SA/90 as scored strong metrics (0.20 and 0.15), explicitly valuing the linking and chance-creation contribution alongside goals. Ure profiles as the highest-pressing CF candidate in the pool (Inter/90 1st/16, RecovOpp/90 2nd/15). Under the revised model, that pressing output now moves the needle. The profile is not a scorer-first CF; it is a link-up striker with a scoring deficit — which the model now distinguishes correctly.

Recommendation

MONITOR. Score 0.86 clears the MONITOR threshold (0.76) with margin. The G/90 hardCore penalty (rawRatio 0.651, ×0.92) remains the binding constraint — Ure is not a BUY until G/90 raw climbs above 0.44. At €2.2M with a 2029 contract, Sirius holds all commercial leverage; this is not a near-term acquisition. The profile is worth tracking: if Ure's scoring rate lifts in the back half of the season — plausible given Sirius's better xG structure than FKH — the gap narrows. A year of monitoring is appropriate before any concrete approach. Do not pursue as a primary CF solution. Confidence basis: High (2,901 min).